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Foundation for the Study of Cycles (FSC)
United States
Приєднався 25 бер 2020
The Foundation for the Study of Cycles is an international research and educational institution for the interdisciplinary study of recurring patterns in all aspects throughout the world.
Become a Cycles Insider with our FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Become a Cycles Insider with our FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Market Cycles Report: July 1 | Financial Stress Index
Market Cycles Report: July 1 | Financial Stress Index
🌎 FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Today we'll analyze the Financial Stress Index to check if there is cyclic behavior which could help us timing the US stock markets?
07:35 Identifying dominant cycles in financial stress index crucial for market trend predictions.
14:20 Adding harmonic relations of cycles refines forecasts for more precise timing of market movements.
23:45 Financial stress index points to a major market top by year-end, aligning with other long-term cycle models.
Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
Learn more about FSC Membership, which includes free access to the standard version of the cycles app: cycles.org/fsc-membership-tiers/
More from Lars: cycles.org/lars
FSC Website: cycles.org/
Become a Cycles Insider
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
🌎 FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Today we'll analyze the Financial Stress Index to check if there is cyclic behavior which could help us timing the US stock markets?
07:35 Identifying dominant cycles in financial stress index crucial for market trend predictions.
14:20 Adding harmonic relations of cycles refines forecasts for more precise timing of market movements.
23:45 Financial stress index points to a major market top by year-end, aligning with other long-term cycle models.
Lars von Thienen hosts Market Cycles Report, a weekly session that reviews datasets using cycles analysis methods. Watch live on Mondays at noon ET.
Learn more about FSC Membership, which includes free access to the standard version of the cycles app: cycles.org/fsc-membership-tiers/
More from Lars: cycles.org/lars
FSC Website: cycles.org/
Become a Cycles Insider
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Переглядів: 1 477
Відео
Behavioural Inflection Point Eclipsed
Переглядів 1,8 тис.День тому
Behavioural Inflection Point Eclipsed | Financial Cycles Summit Kick Off With Ron William 🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/ FSC Development Director Ron William kicks off the Financial Cycles Summit with a bonus presentation. What do seasonality and U.S. election patterns mean for summer market volatility? This year there are 40 elections aroun...
2024 Financial Cycles Summit | June 25-27 | Free Registration
Переглядів 45614 днів тому
🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/
Akhil Patel: Significance of the 18-Year Cycle
Переглядів 5 тис.Місяць тому
Akhil Patel: Significance of the 18-Year Cycle (Masters Working Group Outtake) 🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/ 🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/ Akhil Patel was the special guest presenter at the FSC's June 3 Masters Working Group interactive session. Author of The Secret Wealth Advantage, Patel disc...
Peter Eliades Special Guest for Masters Working Group Session
Переглядів 1,4 тис.Місяць тому
Peter Eliades Special Guest for Masters Working Group Session 🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/ Special guest presenter Peter Eliades joined the Masters Working Group session for one of their twice-monthly interactive sessions. It was such an engaging session, we are making an excerpt available to the public to get a taste of the Masters Workin...
Market Cycles Report: June 3 | Copper
Переглядів 1,7 тис.Місяць тому
Market Cycles Report: June 3 | Copper // no financial advice // 🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/ 🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/ 00:25 Reviewing copper and dynamic cycles in the asset 01:53 Short-term cycles indicate a downward movement until mid-June 04:46 Long-term cycles suggest an upward trend u...
Will Sell in May Work in 2024?
Переглядів 1,1 тис.Місяць тому
Will Sell in May Work in 2024? (Ron William: FSC Development Director) 🌎 Register FREE Financial Cycles Summit: cycles.org/cycles-summit-2024-register-now/ 🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/ It's that time of the year when market professionals recall the negative seasonality pattern of "sell in May and go away" (SIM), based on the expectation of summer ...
5 New Features of the Upgraded Cycles App
Переглядів 588Місяць тому
5 New Features of the Upgraded Cycles App
Market Cycles Report: Special | "False Cycles"
Переглядів 1,9 тис.3 місяці тому
Market Cycles Report: Special | "False Cycles"
Market Cycles Report: Special | The 41-Month Cycle
Переглядів 4,5 тис.3 місяці тому
Market Cycles Report: Special | The 41-Month Cycle
Market Cycles Report: Mar. 18 | NVIDIA
Переглядів 2,8 тис.3 місяці тому
Market Cycles Report: Mar. 18 | NVIDIA
Behavioural Inflection Point Across Risk Proxies
Переглядів 1,3 тис.4 місяці тому
Behavioural Inflection Point Across Risk Proxies
Larry Williams: Market Forecast 2024
Переглядів 20 тис.5 місяців тому
Larry Williams: Market Forecast 2024
Robert Prechter: Market Forecast 2024
Переглядів 81 тис.5 місяців тому
Robert Prechter: Market Forecast 2024
Volatility Survival Guide - How to Stay Ahead in the Markets | Kick Off Market Forecast 2024
Переглядів 1,9 тис.5 місяців тому
Volatility Survival Guide - How to Stay Ahead in the Markets | Kick Off Market Forecast 2024
Market Forecast 2024 Kick-Off: Transform Your Investing With This Cycle
Переглядів 10 тис.5 місяців тому
Market Forecast 2024 Kick-Off: Transform Your Investing With This Cycle
Can we expect a Santa Claus Rally in equity markets?
Переглядів 8936 місяців тому
Can we expect a Santa Claus Rally in equity markets?
Predicting Crisis from Historical Cycles | Neil Howe & Ben Hunt w/Dr. Richard Smith
Переглядів 10 тис.8 місяців тому
Predicting Crisis from Historical Cycles | Neil Howe & Ben Hunt w/Dr. Richard Smith
Market Cycles Report Special Episode 23. Oct. 2023: The sun’s influence on human beings
Переглядів 2,9 тис.8 місяців тому
Market Cycles Report Special Episode 23. Oct. 2023: The sun’s influence on human beings
Stock Market Harmonics: Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 8
Переглядів 1,9 тис.8 місяців тому
Stock Market Harmonics: Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 8
Phil Anderson on the 18.6-year real estate cycle and more!
Переглядів 21 тис.8 місяців тому
Phil Anderson on the 18.6-year real estate cycle and more!
Uncovering Jim Rogers' Surprising Investment Insights
Переглядів 13 тис.9 місяців тому
Uncovering Jim Rogers' Surprising Investment Insights
Subtle Energies: Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 7
Переглядів 1,1 тис.10 місяців тому
Subtle Energies: Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 7
Cymatics: Introduction to Harmonics Theory, Part 6
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Cymatics: Introduction to Harmonics Theory, Part 6
Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 5
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Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 5
Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 4
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Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 4
Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 3
Переглядів 1,4 тис.Рік тому
Introduction to Harmonics Theory with Ray Tomes, Part 3
Start early with diversified investments in stocks, bonds, and real estate. Maximize contributions to tax-advantaged accounts like 401(k)s and IRAs. Regularly review and adjust your strategy to ensure security...
People dont understand that the prices of things are never going back down. This inflation is deeper than we think. Those buying groceries are well aware that the real inflation is much over 10%. The increments dont match our income, yet certain investors still earn over $365,000 in stocks and assets. Wish I could accomplish that.
Very possible! especially at this moment. Profits can be made in many different ways, but such intricate transactions should only be handled by seasoned market professionals.
Some persons think inves'tin is all about buying stocks; I think going into the stock market without a good experience is a big risk, that's why I'm lucky to have seen someone like mr Brian C Nelson.
Finding yourself a good broker is as same as finding a good wife, which you go less stress, you get just enough with so much little effort at things
Brian demonstrates an excellent understanding of market trends, making well informed decisions that leads to consistent profit
I appreciate your work. But the AI „woman“ and her voice at the beginning is very disturbing - is it really needed?
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
Thanks for pointing out the convergences roundabout the US elections, Lars. Enjoy your family time.
Beautiful work. Pretty exact.
According to your last charts the bottom is 2030? Or did you distort it?
Can you cyclical analysis of recession indicator by fred
Fred Flintstone ?
EXCELLENT VIDEO!!! THANK YOU FOR MAKING IT
👍
When the stockmark will hit its peak. And gold. Cheers
Australia. I love this forum. Fantastic
I am listening to from Australia. Amazing series. Thanks
Excellent thanks 😊😊
Hi Ray, Really enjoying these presentations. Question, regarding the 34560 scalar intervalic distribution of matter, have you noticed that if you divide 34560 by Pi, you get 11000 (11th harmonic) and continuing to divide each result by Pi nine times (the octave division) you reduce back to 1.593... a very close approximation of Phi or the Golden mean? Coincidence or is there a connection perhaps?
Fantastic video what a place this is to learn about cycles. Wow. Too good. I have watched all of your videos . Thankyou
This video is pure gold. Thank you for the initiative ❤
We are part of the cyclical system... We are the universes way of looking at itself.
👏👏👏👏
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
🌎 Sign up for the FREE FSC Community Newsletter: cycles.org/free-newsletter/
👍
Great material. Sam from Australia.
Amazing event! Well done
Love Richard's spreadsheet setup.
Hello from Ankara, I've been following Lars for as long as he has been on YT. Very likeable person with good information.
Herr von Thienen, vielen Dank für dieses Bitcoin-Update. Das ist extrem hilfreich!!!!!!!!!
Gerne. Danke für Ihr Feedback.
Thanks from Cape Town for the great content! Please consider providing more time stamps for such a long presentation for those of us who want to return to specific sections.
Lars Venan: Bitcoin Bull Cycle Deep Dive 00:12:20 - The 200-day cycle: Lars breaks down his initial finding from 2021 - the 200-day cycle consistently appears across Bitcoin's parabolic moves, with the peak occurring at the fifth repetition. 00:24:30 - Challenging summer ahead: The current cycle model suggests a potential bearish period for Bitcoin, leading to an expected low around August. 00:41:30 - Seasonality and halving: Lars combines the 200-day cycle, seasonality, and Bitcoin halving events to pinpoint a potential bullish period starting in October 2024, extending into June 2025. 00:59:50 - $100,000 target? While refraining from a concrete price prediction, Lars reveals a personal belief that Bitcoin could surpass $100,000 next year. Richard Smith: Mastering Intraday Cycles in US Equities 01:06:50 - Intraday cycles are real: Richard emphasizes the presence of intraday cycles, sharing his personal experience of using them for successful trading. 01:18:20 - Cycles are not the Holy Grail: Richard cautions against overly optimistic beliefs, highlighting the importance of integrating cycles analysis into a larger trading approach that also incorporates trends and risk management. 01:25:35 - Uncorrelated bets: Richard showcases the power of diversification with an example of how adding a long Euro position to his portfolio decreased his overall exposure and increased diversification. 01:54:10 - Watch the US dollar: Richard points out that the US dollar's negative correlation to other assets makes it a crucial indicator to monitor for intraday trading.
How can I drive to jeke Bernstein?
Wow, I really believe this information is valuable and I appreciate it but it’s way too dry and hard to follow ! I need to filter this through an ai video summary app. I wish this video was more done in a summary style.
Hi, thanks for you feedback. I hear what you are saying. However, this is our ambition: If we 'give you a fish, we feed you for the day. If we teach you how to fish, we feed you for a lifetime'. Stay safe, Lars
Great presentation Peter Elaides 👍🏻
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1:13:00 it’s always funny to me how boomers are the ones calling for community when they destroyed it. It will also be funny to watch them and xers fight us as we build the new world.
I wouldn't expect Inflation to be like the 1970's (27:00) - If you look at the US Treasury 10 year note YIELD there's a clear 40 year half cycle, this means that the repeat of the 1970's is coming in the 2050's (circa/approx) when Int rates will once again be double digits - But it does mean that in 2020 the downtrend in the cycle ended and its only up now for the next 36 years in terms of the overall direction for the YLD
Great tool, but you still need to have a fundamental view to make the most out of it. If you’re fundamentally bullish/bearish on something, cycles can be amazing for timing your trades. Other way around may not work so well.
totally agree! cycles should never been seen or "traded" in isolation.
Insightful analysis Lars, thanks.
If gold is setting up for a slingshot move within anytime from imminently to the next 2 months, but markets are correcting by up to 10% from this Monday onwards, with a brief uptrend before a larger step down in the autumn, and considering gold goes down with markets, how does one read this? Can gold slingshot whilst the rest declines by 10%. I did not think that was a pattern/normal. Is it even possible? OR with a 10% correction, does any set-up sling-shot move just get delayed until the correction in the wider market has bottomed? Someone help me with this!
Hi, could you update the latest cycle of Nvda after the split and all time high cos it didnt do much retracement in April /may period.
Excellent and thoughtful analysis of current market situation in the context of behavioural context, cycles and technicals.
Thanks for your excellent analysis 😊😊
I suggest pivoting your work to something more useful to us
Thanks for the awesome info. Only chart that throws me off is the Party like it’s 1999 at 25:00. It shows prolonged downward movement, which goes against other cyclical data like the global liquidity cycle, the real estate cycle , tritch/brenner, Gann, etc. I may be seeing it wrong, please excuse me if I am.
Great chat! 3 Big brains here
Hey can you show cycles in currency market...
Natural Gas is following a 4 year L-L cycle due in March 2024 and came in bang on time (up for 2 years, then down for 2 years into the next 4 yr L-L date
Part III, as of now (06/19/2024), the S&P 500 is in fair value territory. I've taken the lows of March '09, around 666 points, as the fair value the S&P 500 should have had in early 2000. Then simply compounded with a 9.5% cagr. We may very likely see 10,000 points in 2030 . This guy called Robert Prechter may or may not be a likeable fellow. As a forecaster for the US stock market, I think he's the worst one out there. Don't listen to him !
Perfect! I too was questioning why you wouldn't want to utilize 1100-1200 bars in order to capture three phases of an approximated 360 to 380 bar longer cycle of the Buffet indicator. As in WD Gann's 360 degrees of a circle cycle. Everything has a "Tunnel In The Air." Thank you, Lars.
The review of the previous weeks cycle work provided a excellent perspective regarding trading in the real world
Great presentation, very educating. Thank you! Kind regards from Denmark